Today's pitching match up between John Danks and Tommy Milone is pretty even for both south paws who have similar raw stats. The major advantage is their individual performance against opposing hitters. Milone has had 4 of 5 QS in 32.1 IP allowing just 5 ER against the White Sox hitters while opposing hitters have a combined .564 OPS against him. White Sox are also ranked 30th in OPS vs. LHP this year.

Meanwhile Danks has allowed 20 ER over his last 4 starts against Minnesota and looking back to his last 6 starts at Minnesota see's a history of struggles in every start adding up to 30 ER in 30 IP. The Twins are scoring over 2 runs more per 9 innings vs. LHP on the year and their bullpen is about a run higher when you look at the home/away splits. The offense has struggled a bit lately, but so have the White Sox. I believe the value here is right as the line should be more like -160 or so. Take the Twins.